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Thursday, September 15, 2016

This Is a Natural Consequence of Hillary and the Democrats Running Away from Their Base

Over the past few weeks, I've seen dozen of Hillary Clinton ads, and they all mention Donald Trump more than her.

The Senate candidates seem to be a collection of has beens and never weres who have be consciously selected as a f%$# you to the party base.

As such, it is no surprise that in a year when Senate Republicans are facing major headwinds, Trump and the fact that 24 of the 34 seats are held by Republicans, the possibility of the Democrats retaking the Senate are diminishing:
Part of the August of Democratic Complacency that revolved around robust poll numbers for Hillary Clinton (and the assumption they would get better and better as Americans shrank in revulsion from Donald Trump) was a consensus that Democrats would very likely win back control of the Senate and might even get the House if Trump continued to implode.

Donkey Party optimism about the Senate actually began to spike in July when former senator Evan Bayh suddenly jumped into the race for the seat of Republican Dan Coats, who is retiring. Bayh had big sacks of money left over from his previous Senate campaigns and had always been very popular among Hoosiers. Republican nominee Todd Young looked like a sudden loser, and a lot of observers figured the GOP would concede the seat.

But pro-Republican outside groups did not get the memo, and they’ve already spent $5 million on the Indiana Senate race, with more in the pipeline. And although the Bayh name may be minor magic in the state, the former senator has some baggage, too, including tenuous residency in the state during his recent years as a lawyer-lobbyist in sinful D.C. While the Democrat is still the favorite, the polls are tightening noticeably, and Indiana’s one state where Trump is unlikely to drag down the ticket.

If Bayh’s no longer a lock, the whole proposition of a Democratic-controlled Senate gets dicier. And indeed, the prognosticators have become more cautious, with the Upshot and Daily Kos both now giving Democrats a 54 percent chance of regaining control of the upper chamber. Wisconsin and Illinois are still states where Republican incumbents are in deep trouble. But Republicans are narrowly favored to take a seat back in Nevada. Recent polling shows Ohio and Florida likely falling off the Senate battleground map. And vulnerable GOP incumbents in New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania are looking stronger, though they are far from being out of the woods.
Hillary is aggressively courting Republicans who are unsettled by Trump.  The Senate and House strategies are to try to tie candidates to Trump.

There is absolutely nothing positive being said by the Democratic party campaign apparatus about the Democratic Party.

"Not Donald Trump," will not take back the Senate.

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