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Monday, August 5, 2013

Mexico's President Drinks the Free Market Mousketeer Koolaid

It's not a surprise, the energy companies have been trying to get ownership stakes in the state owned Mexican oil company, Pemex, for years, so it was only matter of time before a useful idiot was elected to the Mexican presidency, the useful idiot in this case being Enrique Peña Nieto:

If Mexico had a crown jewel, it would be the giant state oil monopoly Petroleos Mexicanos, or Pemex. Year after year, it has poured billions of dollars into the state treasury, historically paying for schools, hospitals, dams, highways, ports and more.

The seizure of foreign oil companies 75 years ago that created the company is a cause for annual celebrations affirming Mexico's fierce sense of independence from outside interference.

Yet even as the country's new president, Enrique Peña Nieto, credits Pemex with building the nation, his administration acknowledges that the notoriously inefficient conglomerate is in trouble: If it is not opened to private and foreign investment, Mexico, the world's ninth-largest oil producer, will become a net energy importer by 2020, officials say.

As Peña Nieto moves ahead with a plan to overhaul Pemex, he is navigating the most perilous political minefield of his young presidency. He is toying with taboos and challenging revered perceptions surrounding the nation's top revenue earner. And he is meeting with impassioned opposition.

At the back of a recent rally for Pemex, Jesus Castillo Sanchez, a 46-year-old handyman, waved a giant Mexican flag as if he'd just taken a hill in battle. Booting the foreign oil companies in 1938 "gave Mexico its true independence from the great powers," Castillo said. "After [the foreigners] bring their oil platforms, they will bring their armies and their troops."

The president is expected to introduce landmark energy reform legislation, including proposals addressing Pemex, as early as this week.

………

The government and industry experts contend that Mexico needs advanced technical expertise from outside companies to find and retrieve oil and gas from deep water and shale-rock formations that are believed to hold more than half the country's estimated 14 billion barrels of reserves.

But "Pemex is not allowed … to choose associations … to reduce the level of risk that you run" in deep-water exploration, Carlos Morales Gil, Pemex director of exploration and production, said in an interview. "What Pemex needs is budget autonomy and flexibility" to form joint ventures, he said.
If you look at the Deepwater Horizon case, you will notice that BP doesn't know much of anything about oil drilling.

They hire Halliburton and Slumberger (who took one look at the well, and left) for their drilling expertise, and Transocean to operate the rig.

Oil companies no longer have much in the way of technical expertise, they outsourced those during the oil downturn in the late 1980s.

As to the money to go after harder to reach oil, Pemex clearly needs some reforms, it is a wasteful and bloated bureaucracy.

As to the fixes, the first one comes to mind would be an expansion of their refining facilities, so that Pemex would not have to import (and subsidize) fuel for internal consumption.

But one need only look at the disastrous privatization of British rail to understand that this is a solution that has everyone losing but the foreign firms.

If you bring in foreign investors, oil and gas drilling in Mexico is going to end up looking like Nigeria.

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